AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR PRICE FORECAST: AUD/JPY EYES BULLISH CONTINUATION

AUD/JPY broke above an area of key resistance last week, moving beyond the 76.85 mark for the first time since May 2019. Widespread risk appetite and continued economic recovery in the wake of the coronavirus have helped bolster the Australian Dollar and further progress may allow for more AUD/JPY gains. Either way, the medium-term outlook for the pair has likely enjoyed a boost after the recent technical break.

To that end, prior resistance around the 76.85 mark had worked to keep price contained since early June most recently, but had shown varying levels of influence dating back to May 2019. Thus, the bullish break above 76.85 can be viewed as a rather significant technical development – one that may have opened the door for a continuation higher.

With that in mind, there is little to suggest price will continue higher unabated. Possible resistance resides narrowly overhead around the 78.68 mark and the Australian Dollar could come under fire if risk aversion experiences a meaningful increase. Nevertheless, AUD/JPY can look to enjoy a variety of potential support beneath.

An ascending band from mid-June helped guide price higher into September, despite a brief breakdown in late August. While minor, the bearish break could have seriously undermined the level’s significance, so support around this level going forward might be tenuous at best.
Thankfully for bulls, secondary support might be offered by the level at 76.85 and the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart which seemingly stalled the reversal in late August. Together, these various levels could offer a bounty of support to AUD/JPY as it looks to continue its gradual trend higher.

Reference by: Written by Peter Hanks, Strategist for DailyFX.com