Dollar Up, Holds Onto Biggest Gains in Over Two Years as Treasury Yields Rise
The dollar was up on Friday morning in Asia, holding onto the biggest gains in over two months as a rise in U.S. Treasury yields led to some unwinding of bearish bets on the U.S. currency. The market avoided big moves as investors finish the week.
The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies edged up 0.14% to 89.907 by 9:07 PM ET (2:07 AM GMT). The dollar rose above the almost thee-year low of 89.206 seen on Wednesday, as investors took profits against the euro particularly. The index slid almost 7% in 2020, and as much as 0.9% in 2021 to date, over expectations of U.S. stimulus measures.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield topped 1% on Wednesday for the first time since March 2020, and the euro was at $1.22685 following a 0.5% drop seen on Thursday.
The rising yields and dollar prompted caution in some investors.
Dollar “positioning is stretched and the backup in U.S. yields has some investors nervous,” TD Securities analysts said in a note.
“The (dollar’s) move, however, is more consolidative in tone than it is a sign of a bigger correction,” the note warned.
The USD/JPY pair inched up 0.08% to 103.88, with Japan’s greater Tokyo area entering a state of emergency on Thursday. Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga said earlier in the day that the government would liaise with other prefectures to see whether the state of emergency should be extended, with the Osaka and Aichi governors expected to request that the two areas be added to the emergency declaration.
The AUD/USD pair edged down 0.19% to 0.7753, with Australia’s third-largest city of Brisbane entering a three-day lockdown from later in the day. The NZD/USD pair inched down 0.06% to 0.7250.
The USD/CNY pair inched down 0.05% to 6.4726 and the GBP/USD pair inched down 0.08% to 1.3552.
However, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock’s victory in the U.S. Senate runoff elections in Georgia earlier in the week are expected to be negative for both bonds and the dollar. The pair’s sweep of the two available seats gives the Democrats a Senate majority, in turn giving President-elect Joe Biden scope to push through more fiscal stimulus when his administration takes office on Jan. 20.
On the data front, the U.S. will release employment data, including non-farm payrolls, later in the day. The data is expected to give investors clues to the need for more stimulus measures to keep the economic recovery going.
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